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to show of barack obama that we don't already know? seeing is believing. the three times the debates have changed the lead in a presidential race. each time it was about the words, but also that something else, something that told voters what they didn't know and all of a sudden mattered a lot. and finally, bad numbers. barack obama's ahead in nearly every national poll and battle ground state poll. but what do we really make of the crunchers who say mitt romney has just a 1-5 chance to win this election? hi, i'm chris mathews. welcome to the show. with us today, new york magazine's john, trish and kelly and the huffington post's d howard. with just over a month to go for mitt romney, given the polls, the debates may be it. it could change the narrative that has dogged him or cemented. romney has the same urgent must-do list that he at the republican convention. only now could be his last chance. today we're going to look at romney's career, back at his career, at some missteps in past debates and also at some gems from barack obama. first up, first on romney's must-do list, get likable.
what governor romney is conveying. >> do you think president obama has not said to a group of donors, look, there are certain segments in the electorate that are not going to vote for me? why not see it as political analysis? >> i don't think that's what the president said or ever said. what he's done is govern for all of the people. the president has, you know, he's advanced policy that is are not popular with his base. he did them because he thought they were important for the future of this country. it's the leadership we need. >> let's talk about the issues, the 47% get to. the question of government dependence as you referenced, here are snapshots nationally that raised eyebrows and governor romney talked about. you talk about food stamps. 47 million americans on food stamps up from four years ago. here is a broader picture from the wall street journal over time, if you go back to the early '80s and look at the trajectory, 49% receiving some kind of government benefit. is government dependent at a place where it's out of control? >> well, david, i think where we are is too many
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